The Cisadane Watershed is in a critical state, which has expanded residential areas upstream of Cisadane. Changes in land use and cover can impact a region’s hydrological characteristics. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) is a hydrological model that can simulate the hydrological characteristics of the watershed affected by land use. This study aims to evaluate the impact of land use change on the hydrological characteristics of the Cisadane watershed using SWAT under different land use scenarios. The models were calibrated and validated, and the results showed satisfactory agreement between observed and simulated streamflow. The main river channel is based on the results of the watershed delineation process, with the watershed boundary consisting of 85 sub-watersheds. The hydrological characteristics showed that the maximum flow rate (Q max) was 12.30 m³/s, and the minimum flow rate (Q min) was 5.50 m³/s. The study area’s distribution of future land use scenarios includes business as usual (BAU), protecting paddy fields (PPF), and protecting forest areas (PFA). The BAU scenario had the worst effect on hydrological responses due to the decreasing forests and paddy fields. The PFA scenario yielded the most favourable hydrological response, achieving a notable reduction from the baseline BAU in surface flow, lateral flow, and groundwater by 2%, 7%, and 2%, respectively. This was attributed to enhanced water infiltration, alongside increases in water yield and evapotranspiration of 3% and 15%, respectively. l Therefore, it is vital to maintain green vegetation and conserve land to support sustainable water availability.

This study focuses on the use of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model for water budgeting and resource planning in Oued Cherraa basin. The combination of hydrological models such as SWAT with reliable meteorological data makes it possible to simulate water availability and manage water resources. In this study, the SWAT model was employed to estimate hydrological parameters in the Oued Cherra basin, utilizing meteorological data (2012–2020) sourced from the Moulouya Hydraulic Basin Agency (ABHM). The hydrology of the basin is therefore represented by point data from the Tazarhine hydrological station for the 2009–2020 period. In order to optimize the accuracy of a specific model, namely SWAT-CUP, a calibration and validation process was carried out on the aforementioned model using observed flow data. The SUFI-2 algorithm was utilized in this process, with the aim of enhancing its precision. The performance of the model was then evaluated using statistical parameters, with particular attention being given to Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) and coefficient of determination (R²). The NSE values for the study were 0.58 for calibration and 0.60 for validation, while the corresponding R² values were 0.66 and 0.63. The study examined 16 hydrological parameters for Oued Cherra, determining that evapotranspiration accounted for 89% of the annual rainfall, while surface runoff constituted only 6%. It also showed that groundwater recharge was pretty much negligible. This emphasized how important it is to manage water resources effectively. The calibrated SWAT model replicated flow patterns pretty well, which gave us some valuable insights into the water balance and availability. The study’s primary conclusions were that surface water is limited and that shallow aquifers are a really important source of water storage, especially for irrigation during droughts.