This study scrutinizes the allocation of financial aid for climate change adaptation from OECD/DAC donors, focusing on its effectiveness in supporting developing countries. With growing concerns over climate risks, the emphasis on green development as a means of adaptation is increasing. The research explores whether climate adaptation finance is efficiently allocated and what factors influence OECD/DAC donor decisions. It examines bilateral official development assistance in the climate sector from 2010 to 2021, incorporating climate vulnerability and adaptation indices from the ND-GAIN Country Index and the IMF Climate Risk Index. A panel double hurdle model is used to analyze the factors influencing the financial allocations of 41,400 samples across 115 recipient countries from 30 donors, distinguishing between the decision to select a country and the determination of the aid amount. The study unveils four critical findings. Firstly, donors weigh a more comprehensive range of factors when deciding on aid amounts than when selecting recipient countries. Secondly, climate vulnerability is significantly relevant in the allocation stage, but climate aid distribution does not consistently match countries with high vulnerability. Thirdly, discerning the impact of socio-economic vulnerabilities on resource allocation, apart from climate vulnerability, is challenging. Lastly, donor countries’ economic and diplomatic interests play a significant role in climate development cooperation. As a policy implication, OECD/DAC donor countries should consider establishing differentiated allocation mechanisms in climate-oriented development cooperation to achieve the objectives of climate-resilient development.
This study thoroughly examined the use of different machine learning models to predict financial distress in Indonesian companies by utilizing the Financial Ratio dataset collected from the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX), which includes financial indicators from various companies across multiple industries spanning a decade. By partitioning the data into training and test sets and utilizing SMOTE and RUS approaches, the issue of class imbalances was effectively managed, guaranteeing the dependability and impartiality of the model’s training and assessment. Creating first models was crucial in establishing a benchmark for performance measurements. Various models, including Decision Trees, XGBoost, Random Forest, LSTM, and Support Vector Machine (SVM) were assessed. The ensemble models, including XGBoost and Random Forest, showed better performance when combined with SMOTE. The findings of this research validate the efficacy of ensemble methods in forecasting financial distress. Specifically, the XGBClassifier and Random Forest Classifier demonstrate dependable and resilient performance. The feature importance analysis revealed the significance of financial indicators. Interest_coverage and operating_margin, for instance, were crucial for the predictive capabilities of the models. Both companies and regulators can utilize the findings of this investigation. To forecast financial distress, the XGB classifier and the Random Forest classifier could be employed. In addition, it is important for them to take into account the interest coverage ratio and operating margin ratio, as these finansial ratios play a critical role in assessing their performance. The findings of this research confirm the effectiveness of ensemble methods in financial distress prediction. The XGBClassifier and RandomForestClassifier demonstrate reliable and robust performance. Feature importance analysis highlights the significance of financial indicators, such as interest coverage ratio and operating margin ratio, which are crucial to the predictive ability of the models. These findings can be utilized by companies and regulators to predict financial distress.
The global economic recession has caused pessimism in terms of prospects of sales recovering in the future. The present study is an attempt to investigate the cost stickiness behavior by focusing on specific characteristics of companies. The research was done through documentary analysis and access to quantitative data, with the use of statistical methods for analysis as panel data. The statistical population of the actual study included all companies listed on the India stock exchange from 2017 to 2021. They were selected after screening 128 listed companies. The regression method was used to examine the relationship between variables and to present a forecast model. The results of testing the first hypothesis showed that companies’ costs are sticky and according to the results of this hypothesis, an increase in costs when the level of activity increases is greater than the level of reduction in costs when the volumes of the activities are decreased. The results of the second hypothesis showed a remarkable relationship between the cost stickiness and specific characteristics of companies (size, number of employees, long-term assets, financial leverage, and accuracy of profits forecast). Based on the third hypothesis, there is a notable difference between cost stickiness at different levels of specific characteristics of companies. Therefore, the results show that environmental uncertainty such as COVID-19, increases cost stickiness.
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