The Mass Rapid Transit (MRT) Purple Line project is part of the Thai government’s energy- and transportation-related greenhouse gas reduction plan. The number of passengers estimated during the feasibility study period was used to calculate the greenhouse gas reduction effect of project implementation. Most of the estimated numbers exceed the actual number of passengers, resulting in errors in estimating greenhouse gas emissions. This study employed a direct demand ridership model (DDRM) to accurately predict MRT Purple Line ridership. The variables affecting the number of passengers were the population in the vicinity of stations, offices, and shopping malls, the number of bus lines that serve the area, and the length of the road. The DDRM accurately predicted the number of passengers within 10% of the observed change and, therefore, the project can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 1289 tCO2 in 2023 and 2059 tCO2 in 2030.
Competition in the telecommunications market has significant benefits and impacts in various fields of society such as education, health and the economy. Therefore, it is key not only to monitor the behavior of the concentration of the telecommunications market but also to forecast it to guarantee an adequate level of competition. This work aims to forecast the Linda index of the telecommunications market based on an ARIMA time series model. To achieve this, we obtain data on traffic, revenue, and access from companies in the telecommunications market over a decade and use them to construct the Linda index. The Linda index allows us to measure the possible existence of oligopoly and the inequality between different market shares. The data is modeled through an ARIMA time series to finally predict the future values of the Linda index. The results show that the Colombian telecommunications market has a slight concentration that can affect the level of competition.
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