Abrupt changes in environmental temperature, wind and humidity can lead to great threats to human life safety. The Gansu marathon disaster of China highlights the importance of early warning of hypothermia from extremely low apparent temperature (AT). Here a deep convolutional neural network model together with a statistical downscaling framework is developed to forecast environmental factors for 1 to 12 h in advance to evaluate the effectiveness of deep learning for AT prediction at 1 km resolution. The experiments use data for temperature, wind speed and relative humidity in ERA-5 and the results show that the developed deep learning model can predict the upcoming extreme low temperature AT event in the Gansu marathon region several hours in advance with better accuracy than climatological and persistence forecasting methods. The hypothermia time estimated by the deep learning method with a heat loss model agrees well with the observed estimation at 3-hour lead. Therefore, the developed deep learning forecasting method is effective for short-term AT prediction and hypothermia warnings at local areas.
To gain a deep understanding of maintenance and repair planning, investigate the weak points of the distribution network, and discover unusual events, it is necessary to trace the shutdowns that occurred in the network. Many incidents happened due to the failure of thermal equipment in schools. On the other hand, the most important task of electricity distribution companies is to provide reliable and stable electricity, which minimal blackouts and standard voltage should accompany. This research uses seasonal time series and artificial neural network approaches to provide models to predict the failure rate of one of the equipment used in two areas covered by the greater Tehran electricity distribution company. These data were extracted weekly from April 2019 to March 2021 from the ENOX incident registration software. For this purpose, after pre-processing the data, the appropriate final model was presented with the help of Minitab and MATLAB software. Also, average air temperature, rainfall, and wind speed were selected as input variables for the neural network. The mean square error has been used to evaluate the proposed models’ error rate. The results show that the time series models performed better than the multi-layer perceptron neural network in predicting the failure rate of the target equipment and can be used to predict future periods.
In agriculture, crop yield and quality are critical for global food supply and human survival. Challenges such as plant leaf diseases necessitate a fast, automatic, economical, and accurate method. This paper utilizes deep learning, transfer learning, and specific feature learning modules (CBAM, Inception-ResNet) for their outstanding performance in image processing and classification. The ResNet model, pretrained on ImageNet, serves as the cornerstone, with introduced feature learning modules in our IRCResNet model. Experimental results show our model achieves an average prediction accuracy of 96.8574% on public datasets, thoroughly validating our approach and significantly enhancing plant leaf disease identification.
This research examines three data mining approaches employing cost management datasets from 391 Thai contractor companies to investigate the predictive modeling of construction project failure with nine parameters. Artificial neural networks, naive bayes, and decision trees with attribute selection are some of the algorithms that were explored. In comparison to artificial neural network’s (91.33%) and naive bays’ (70.01%) accuracy rates, the decision trees with attribute selection demonstrated greater classification efficiency, registering an accuracy of 98.14%. Finally, the nine parameters include: 1) planning according to the current situation; 2) the company’s cost management strategy; 3) control and coordination from employees at different levels of the organization to survive on the basis of various uncertainties; 4) the importance of labor management factors; 5) the general status of the company, which has a significant effect on the project success; 6) the cost of procurement of the field office location; 7) the operational constraints and long-term safe work procedures; 8) the implementation of the construction system system piece by piece, using prefabricated parts; 9) dealing with the COVID-19 crisis, which is crucial for preventing project failure. The results show how advanced data mining approaches can improve cost estimation and prevent project failure, as well as how computational methods can enhance sustainability in the building industry. Although the results are encouraging, they also highlight issues including data asymmetry and the potential for overfitting in the decision tree model, necessitating careful consideration.
In this study, we utilized a convolutional neural network (CNN) trained on microscopic images encompassing the SARS-CoV-2 virus, the protozoan parasite “plasmodium falciparum” (causing of malaria in humans), the bacterium “vibrio cholerae” (which produces the cholera disease) and non-infected samples (healthy persons) to effectively classify and predict epidemics. The findings showed promising results in both classification and prediction tasks. We quantitatively compared the obtained results by using CNN with those attained employing the support vector machine. Notably, the accuracy in prediction reached 97.5% when using convolutional neural network algorithms.
Outsourcing logistics operations is a common trend as businesses prioritize core activities. Establishing a sustainable partnership between businesses and logistics service providers requires a systematic approach. This study is needed to develop a more effective and adaptive framework for logistics service provider selection by integrating diverse criteria and decision-making methodologies, ultimately enhancing the precision and sustainability of procurement processes. This study advocate for leveraging industry-based knowledge in procurement, emphasizing the need to define decision-making elements. The research analyzes nearly 300 logistics procurement projects, using a neural network-based methodology to propose a model that aids businesses in identifying optimal criteria for evaluating logistics service providers based on extensive industry knowledge. The goal of this study is to develop and test a practical model that would support businesses in choosing most suitable criteria for selection of logistics service providers based on cumulative market patterns. The results of this study are as follows. It introduces novel elements by gathering and systematizing unique market data using developed data processing methodology. It innovatively classifies decision-making elements, allocating them into distinct groups for use as features in a neural network. The study further contributes by developing and training a predictive model based on a prepared dataset, addressing pre-defined goals, expectations related to green logistics, and specific requirements in the tendering process for selecting logistics service providers. Study is concluded by summarizing suggestions for future research in area of adopting neural networks for selection of logistics service providers.
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