This research aims to build an appropriate leadership model for regional heads in mitigating disasters due to climate change that is occurring in Papua. Papua Island is one of the islands that is included in disaster-prone areas, namely earthquakes, flash floods, tidal floods and landslides. This disaster occurred due to Papua’s geological conditions in the form of activity on the Indo-Australian plate (southern part) and the Pacific plate (north-eastern part). Exploitation of nature carried out by companies and communities themselves in a particular area has an impact on the balance of the natural ecosystem. So far, disaster management has only focused on emergency response. Aid movements coordinated by ordinary people also focus more on raising aid for emergency situations. In fact, comprehensive disaster management includes before, during and after a disaster occurs. So a combination of leadership styles is needed that must be carried out at each phase of a disaster so that the right model can be produced. The results of this research found that the leadership model of regional heads in mitigating climate change in Papua is in accordance with the disaster management cycle with leadership styles, and traditional Papuan leadership styles. This combination is called a collaborative leadership model for disaster management in Papua. It is hoped that by implementing this model, climate change disaster mitigation can be effective.
As a key factor in the macroeconomic process, the interaction between public confidence and the commodity market, especially its impact on commodity facilitation returns and macroeconomic linkages, is worth exploring in depth. This study adopts the TVP-SV-VAR model to analyze the causal linkages, dynamic characteristics, and mechanisms of the interaction, and reveals the following core findings: (1) The economic background and information shocks contribute to the variations in the effects and orientations of the economic variables, which highlight the time-varying nature of the economic interactions. (2) Consumer and investor confidence exert heterogeneous influence on the macroeconomy, and their different responses to the negative effect of interest rates and convenience gains are particularly significant in the post-crisis recovery period. (3) In the short-term perspective, the influence of public confidence on monetary policy and inflation exceeds that in the medium and long term, highlighting the immediate sensitivity of individual economic behavior. (4) Since 2015, accommodative monetary policy has accelerated market capital flows, delaying the interaction between confidence indices and inflation, revealing policy time lag effects. (5) Convenience gains exhibit complex time-varying interactions with key economic parameters (interest rates, commodity prices, and inflation), with 2011 and 2014 displaying particular patterns, mapping differences between short- and long-term mechanisms, respectively. The study highlights the central role of consumer and investor confidence in the precise tailoring of macroeconomic policies, providing a scientific basis for policy forecasting and economic regulation, and contributing to economic stability. Meanwhile, the dynamic evolution of consumer confidence deepens market trend foresight, enhances the precision of market participants’ decision-making, and reinforces the resilience and predictability of economic operations.
This research calls for intellectual and methodological unity among Muslims considering the current fragmentation and disintegration affecting the community. It emphasizes the need for cohesion, moving away from confrontations with differing ideas and interpretations. The study highlights a key aspect of tolerance ethics, a trait exemplified by esteemed jurists throughout history, who incorporated these values into their writings and actions as a model for future generations. Their respectful conduct in dialogues, debates, and interactions with opposing views serves as a guiding example. Key themes include decorum towards differing opinions, the avoidance of offensive language, and fairness in judgments, refraining from examining others' intentions. These principles of tolerance are evident in historical and biographical works, showcasing the jurists' ethical approach and intellectual maturity in addressing both minor and major disagreements, reflecting an ethical dimension in their discourse.
Climate change is causing serious impacts, especially in sub-Saharan Africa, where poverty rates could increase by 2050 if climate and development measures are not taken. The health consequences are diverse and include transmissible and non-transmissible diseases. The objective of this study is to analyze the strategies implemented in health facilities in the Greater Lomé health region to cope with the impacts of climate change. The survey was carried out in 23 health facilities in 2022. It was a descriptive cross-sectional study which was carried out from July to September 2022. Qualitative and quantitative approaches were used. Non-probability sampling method and purposive choice technique were used. Four techniques made it possible to collect the data, namely documentary analysis, survey, interview and observation. The collected data were processed with Excel software and exported to SPSS for analysis. In total, 112 people were surveyed out of 161 planned. According to the results, 52.68% of health facilities did not implement adaptation strategies, 47.32% used adaptive strategies depending on to their means. Strategies exist but at low percentages due to limited technical and financial resources and the insufficiency of innovative policies. These strategies need to be supported in order to make them more effective. The study provides a basis for adopting innovative strategies and encouraging financing for adaptation actions.
Industrial zones require careful and meticulous planning because industry can have a major impact on the surrounding environment. The research location is the northern part of West Java Province which is a gold triangle area named Rebana Triangle Area. The purpose of this study is to measure the weight of the research variables in determining industrial zones from the results of fuzzy analytical hierarchy process (F-AHP) analysis, assessing the location of industrial zones in the research area based on important variables in determining industrial zones. The result of this study is the weight of the research variables in determining the industrial zone from the results of the fuzzy analytical hierarchy process (F-AHP) analysis obtained is the availability of electrical infrastructure with an influence weight of 15.00%. The second most influential factor is the availability of telecommunications infrastructure with an effect of 13.02%, the distance of land to roads and access of 11.76%, land use of 11.21%, distance of land to public facilities of 9.99%, labour cost work is 9.60%, the distance of land to the river is 8.19%, the price of land is 7.97%, the slope is 6.79%, and the type of soil is 6.43%. This GIS analysis model can be a reference model for the government in determining the potential of industrial zones in other regions in Indonesia. A total of 4822.41 Ha or the equivalent of 3.50% of the total area of 6 (six) regencies/cities research areas which are very suitable to be used as industrial zones. The district that has the largest area of potential industrial zone is Majalengka, while Cirebon does not have a location that has the potential for industrial zone locations. Based on the results of the analysis of 10 (ten) variables for determining industrial zones from expert opinion, a draft policy proposal for the government can be proposed, among others. These 10 (ten) variables are variables that are expected to be mandatory variables in planning and determining the location of potential industrial areas.
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