The complex system of climate change security and the ripple effect of water–food–socioeconomic nexus

Sameh W.H. Al-Muqdadi; Nawrast S. Abdalwahab; Inass A.R. Almallah; Saleem F. Hussein; Amel Yassin; Safwa O.M. Salim; Mohammed J. Alfarraji; Hussein H.M. Mishbak; Layth R.S. Altuma; Basima Ab-dulrahman

doi:10.24294/jipd.v8i6.3928

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The complex system of climate change security and the ripple effect of water–food–socioeconomic nexus

Sameh W.H. Al-Muqdadi

Nawrast S. Abdalwahab

Inass A.R. Almallah

Saleem F. Hussein

Amel Yassin

Safwa O.M. Salim

Mohammed J. Alfarraji

Hussein H.M. Mishbak

Layth R.S. Altuma

Basima Ab-dulrahman

Journal of Infrastructure Policy and Development 2024, 8(6), 3928; https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd.v8i6.3928

Submitted：01 Jan 2024

Accepted：24 Jan 2024

Published：11 Jun 2024

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Abstract

The effects of climate change are recognized globally. This study hypothesizes that climate change impacts are a complex system that creates a ripple effect on water security, food security, and economic security. Ultimately, those domains simultaneously exacerbate climate change effects and produce national security concerns. The study’s framework uses a transdisciplinary team’s quantitative and qualitative approach to evaluate the challenges and possible solutions to climate change security on the Water–Food–Socioeconomic Nexus. Iraq has been taken as a case study highlighting the deficits in management and governance. The dynamic of the ripple effect shows the interventions for each sector’s water-food-socioeconomic and security that collectively impact upon each other over time. The radical shift in the political infrastructure after 2003 from a centralized to a decentralized one without proper preparation is one of the root causes of the governance and management anarchy. About 228 state and non-state actors are involved in decision-making, leaving it fragile and unsustainable. Only 1% of the national budget is allocated to both the Ministry of Water Resources and the Ministry of Agriculture, which leaves no capacity to mitigate the risk of climate change impact.

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References

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