Many financial crises have occurred in recent decades, such as the International Debt Crisis of 1982, the East Asian Economic Crisis of 1997–2001, the Russian economic crisis of 1992–1997, the Latin American debt Crisis of 1994–2002, the Global Economic Recession of 2007–2009, which had a strong impact on international relations. The aim of this article is to create an econometric model of the indicator for identifying crisis situations arising in stock markets. The approach under consideration includes data for preprocessing and assessing the stability of the trend of time series using higher-order moments. The results obtained are compared with specific practical situations. To test the proposed indicator, real data of the stock indices of the USA, Germany and Hong Kong in the period World Financial Crisis are used. The scientific novelty of the results of the article consists in the analysis of the initial and given initial moments of high order, as well as the central and reduced central moments of high order. The econometric model of the indicator for identifying crisis situations arising considered in the work, based on high-order moments plays a pivotal role in crisis detection in stock markets, influencing financial innovations in managing the national economy. The findings contribute to the resilience and adaptability of the financial system, ultimately shaping the trajectory of the national economy. By facilitating timely crisis detection, the model supports efforts to maintain economic stability, thereby fostering sustainable growth and resilience in the face of financial disruptions. The model's insights can shape the national innovation ecosystem by guiding the development and adoption of monetary and financial innovations that are aligned with the economy's specific needs and challenges.
The COVID-19 crisis, which occurred in 2020, brought crisis events back to the attention of scholars. With the increasing frequency of crisis events, the influence of crisis events on stock markets has become more obvious. This paper focuses on the impact of the subprime crisis, the Chinese stock market crash crisis and the COVID-19 crisis on the volatility and risk of the world’s major stock markets. In this paper, we first fit the volatility using EGARCH model and detect asymmetry of volatility. After that, a VaR model is calculated on the basis of EGARCH to measure the impact of the crisis event on the risk of stock markets. This paper finds that the subprime crisis has a significant influence on the risk of the stock market in China, US, South Korea, and Japan. During the COVID-19 crisis, there was little change in the average risk of each country. But at the beginning of the COVID-19 crisis, there was a significant increase in the risk of each country’s stock market. The Chinese stock market crash crisis had a more pronounced effect on the Chinese and Japanese stock markets and a lesser effect on the US and Korean stock markets.
Taking Xinjiang Agricultural University as an example, based on Rain Classroom and Dingding platform, the linear algebra course changes the current situation of "emphasizing theory and ignoring application" in traditional mathematics classrooms, adding applied teaching cases with the background of industry and agriculture, using online and offline The blended teaching mode, through inquiry-based and case-based teaching methods and students' autonomous learning and discussion methods, develops from a teaching mode focusing on "teaching" to focusing on "learning". The teaching mode has been comprehensively reformed, and satisfactory results have been achieved.
The existence of residential well-being of the locals in the sense of equilibrium-state is a competitive advantage for tourism in a given destination. The rise of overtourism could jeopardize this equilibrium and ultimately the effectiveness of tourism in a vulnerable destination. The research question of the study aimed to answer: what are the spiral dynamics of the multifactorial characteristics of the sense of place that can be mapped under the influence of overtourism. Answering the question draws attention to the sense of place—which can be interpreted as a synonym for local character—of the issues of overtourism and residential well-being. Mapping the mechanism of action of the multifactorial characteristic of locality can help to identify non-supportive functions, to pinpoint the balance point for moving towards a supportive quality, and to answer the “how yes” questions at individual, local and collective levels. The answer to the research question is the result of concluding three district-specific sub-questions. The assessment of the results was based on the content analysis of 251 posts (2017–2021) in the local public Facebook group (supplemented by a questionnaire survey of local residents (2022), 30 in-depth interviews with experts and residents (2022) conducted as part of the cross-sectional research, and 10 additional in-depth interviews with residents (2024) conducted for the last sub-question. The flowchart showing the current state of the district along a negative spiral dynamic, the possibility to turn it in a positive direction, and the mind-map-like summary of local, individual and collective mitigation and solution alternatives supporting the change of direction can be considered as a novel scientific result.
Trinity education mode is an important assessment standard in the process of college teacher team construction. Through in-depth exploration of Trinity education mode, data can be further updated in real time from many aspects such as students' training needs, personal development direction and teaching resources reorganization, which is conducive to the basis of college teacher team construction process and can also combine the current situation and core advantages of college teacher team development. It can also integrate the advantages of quality education and trinity education, and further provide new directions for the development of university teachers. Therefore, under the background of new era development, it is an effective way to improve the effectiveness of college teachers' team construction through Trinity education mode, and further realize the advantages of team construction and innovative development in the traditional team construction.
Floods have always been an unavoidable natural disaster globally. Due to that, many efforts have been taken in order to alleviate the effect, especially in protecting the victims from losing their lives as well as their belongings. This study focuses on ensuring a smooth allocation process for flood victims to the relief centres considering the nature of their location, near the river, inland, and coastal. The finding indicated that a few implications have been highlighted for disaster management, such as changes in flood victim allocation patterns, classification of prone areas based on three areas, identification of most disaster areas, and others. Thus, to enhance the efficiency of allocation and to avoid any bad incidents happening during the flood occurrence, the allocation of flood victims is proposed to be started at a more critical area like the river area and followed by other areas. The finding also indicated that the proposed allocation procedure yielded a slightly lower average travel distance than the existing practice. These findings could also provide valuable information for disaster management in implementing a more efficient allocation procedure during a disaster.
Copyright © by EnPress Publisher. All rights reserved.